党内斗争二号人物成功了6次,中共党史上的10次篡党夺权。
我们从这个网友的提问说起,高岗,饶漱石不是常委吗?不是,还真不是。
当时没有常委,是五大书记,毛泽东,朱德,刘少奇,周恩来,任弼时。任弼时死了,陈云上来。所以说,高岗,饶漱石篡党夺权,根本就是污蔑。因为高岗压根没有进入过权力核心,凭什么篡党夺权?
我们再回头看遵义会议,遵义会议也不是毛泽东篡党夺权,而是张闻天篡党夺了博古的权。
到了1937年,毛泽东才篡党夺了张闻天的权。
1962年七千人大会,刘少奇篡党夺权,把毛泽东赶到了二线。这时候刘少奇是党内二把手。但是没有把毛泽东赶出常委会,所以刘少奇最后还是失败了。
我们再来看毛泽东拿下的5个常委。都是1967年之后。
从1949年到1966年,中共的领导层基本稳定。只是任弼时死了,换上陈云,后来又增补了林彪。可以说,文革之前,毛泽东的权力边界是到不了政治局常委的,毛当时拿不下政治局常委。文革之后,毛才有权力,能够拿下政治局常委。
我们再来看林彪,林彪也是篡党夺权,为什么呢,林彪当时就是党内二号人物。
打倒四人帮,你可以说王洪文,张春桥是篡党夺权,但是说江青就是污蔑了。江青不是政治局常委,根本就没有进入过权力核心,没有资格篡党夺权。
到了邓小平的时候,胡耀邦顶替华国锋,这是篡党夺权。因为胡耀邦,邓小平都是政治局常委。
到了赵紫阳取代胡耀邦的时候,又是一次篡党夺权,因为邓小平和赵紫阳都是政治局常委。
而到了六四的时候,江泽民取代了赵紫阳,这时候就不是篡党夺权了,这叫军事政变,因为邓小平已经不是政治局常委了。但是也利用了党内台面上的二号人物李鹏。
(当然张闻天,胡耀邦,赵紫阳是台面上的一把手的时候,掌权的是毛泽东,邓小平。
这和七千人大会后,台面上的一把手是毛泽东,实际是刘少奇掌权是一个道理。)
所以,你可以说周永康是篡党夺权。但薄熙来不是,因为薄熙来不是常委,没有资格。
薄熙来如果能成功,那不叫篡党夺权,那就是和邓小平一样的军事政变。
至于孙力军就更是一个笑话了,他仅仅是一个副部级干部。即便是孟建柱也仅仅是政治局委员,没有资格篡党夺权。
所以我们看整个中共的历史,基本都是篡党夺权,都是党内二号人物取代一号人物,无论结果是成功还是失败。
毛泽东和周恩来死了之后,华国锋是一号,王洪文是二号。
所以什么是真正的篡党夺权?高岗,江青,薄熙来,孙力军,纯粹就是扣帽子的,排不上号。只有党内一号人物和二号人物的斗争,才叫做篡党夺权,起码也得是政治局常委。
中共历史上,真正篡党夺权级别的斗争只有10次。在一号人物和二号人物的斗争中,二号人物胜利的有6次,一号人物胜利的有4次。
为什么是”习下李上“?
中共权力交接有三种模式,第一是接班模式:江》胡和胡》包子。不要有这是常态的错觉。
第二是军事政变,六四邓小平成功,周永康失败。
第三是篡党夺权,一共9次,这是中共的主流。无论”李上“还是包子连任,都是篡党夺权。
虽然毛泽东比邓小平邪恶很多,但是毛没有搞过军事政变,都是篡党夺权,在党内是”合法“的。华国锋拿下四人帮,是军事手段,但是有党内一号人物,拿下二号人物王洪文,党内的”合法“外衣掩护。
这也解释了周永康为什么要被拿下,因为他要用掌握武警的实际军权二号人物的身份,发动政变。
党内斗争,从来都是一号人物和二号人物的斗争,其他人只是炮灰。
什么汪洋,胡春华,丁薛祥,陈敏尔都不可能上,这就是一号和二号的对决。
不是习李要下全下,要留全留,而是习和李必须下去一个。
包子没有本事像毛泽东把林彪炸死,像邓小平把赵紫阳软禁,像金正恩把姑父炮决,
那么只能下台。包子连政治局委员都拿不下,有本事把李克强拖到天安门广场炮决了吗?
什么高岗,饶漱石,彭德怀,江青,薄熙来,孙力军根本排不上号,只能算作扣帽子。
这些人根本就没有进入核心权力圈。最次也得是周永康这样的常委。
二号人物胜率是60%。不算周永康,二号人物胜率是67%。
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哈哈,2022年10月22日补充,回头看看,写的没什么错误,习和李必须下去一个。
The No. 2 figure in intra-party struggles succeeded 6 times, and 10 times in the history of the CCP usurped the party and seized power.
Let’s start with this netizen’s question, Gao Gang, isn’t Rao Shushi a member of the Standing Committee? No, not really.
At that time, there was no standing committee, but the five secretaries, Mao Zedong, Zhu De, Liu Shaoqi, Zhou Enlai, and Ren Bishi. When Ren Bishi died, Chen Yun came up. Therefore, to say that Gao Gang and Jao Shu-shih usurped the Party and seized power is fundamentally slander. Because Gao Gang has never entered the core of power, why should we usurp the party and seize power?
Let’s look back at the Zunyi Conference. The Zunyi Conference was not Mao Zedong usurping the Party and seizing power, but Zhang Wentian usurping the Party and seizing Bogu’s power.
In 1937, Mao Zedong usurped the party and seized Zhang Wentian’s power.
In 1962, at the Seven Thousand People’s Congress, Liu Shaoqi usurped the party and seized power, driving Mao Zedong to the second line. At this time, Liu Shaoqi was the second-in-command in the party. However, Mao Zedong was not expelled from the Standing Committee, so Liu Shaoqi finally failed.
Let’s look at the five standing committee members that Mao Zedong won. All after 1967.
From 1949 to 1966, the leadership of the CCP was basically stable. It’s just that Ren Bishi died, and Chen Yun was replaced, and then Lin Biao was added. It can be said that before the Cultural Revolution, Mao Zedong’s power boundary could not reach the Politburo Standing Committee, and Mao could not win the Politburo Standing Committee at that time. After the Cultural Revolution, Mao had power and was able to win the Politburo Standing Committee.
Let’s look at Lin Biao again. Lin Biao also usurped the party and seized power. Why, Lin Biao was the second-ranking figure in the party at that time.
To overthrow the Gang of Four, you can say that Wang Hongwen and Zhang Chunqiao are usurping the party and seizing power, but to say that Jiang Qing is slandering. Jiang Qing is not a member of the Politburo Standing Committee. He has never entered the core of power, and is not qualified to usurp the party and seize power.
When Deng Xiaoping arrived, Hu Yaobang replaced Hua Guofeng, which was usurping the party and seizing power. Because Hu Yaobang and Deng Xiaoping are both members of the Politburo Standing Committee.
When Zhao Ziyang replaced Hu Yaobang, it was another usurpation of the party, because Deng Xiaoping and Zhao Ziyang were both members of the Politburo Standing Committee.
But on June 4, Jiang Zemin replaced Zhao Ziyang. At this time, it was not usurping the party and seizing power. It was called a military coup, because Deng Xiaoping was no longer a member of the Politburo Standing Committee. But it also took advantage of Li Peng, the No. 2 figure in the party table.
So, you can say that Zhou Yongkang is usurping the party to seize power. But Bo Xilai is not, because Bo Xilai is not a member of the Standing Committee and has no qualifications.
If Bo Xilai succeeds, it will not be called usurping the party and seizing power, but a military coup like Deng Xiaoping.
As for Sun Lijun, it is even more of a joke, he is only a deputy ministerial cadre. Even Meng Jianzhu is only a member of the Politburo and is not qualified to usurp the party and seize power.
Therefore, when we look at the entire history of the CCP, it is basically usurping the party and seizing power.
After Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai died, Hua Guofeng was No. 1 and Wang Hongwen was No. 2.
So what is a real usurpation of power? Gao Gang, Jiang Qing, Bo Xilai, and Sun Lijun are simply deserving of their hats and cannot be ranked. Only the struggle between the No. 1 and No. 2 figures in the party can be called usurping the party and seizing power, and at least one must be a member of the Politburo Standing Committee.
In the history of the CCP, there have been only 10 real struggles to usurp the party and seize power. In the battle between the No. 1 person and the No. 2 person, the No. 2 person wins 6 times, and the No. 1 person wins 4 times.
Why “Xi Xia Li Shang”?
Intra-party struggle has always been a struggle between the No. 1 figure and the No. 2 figure, and the others are just cannon fodder.
What Gao Gang, Jao Shushi, Peng Dehuai, Jiang Qing, Bo Xilai, Sun Lijun are not ranked at all, they can only be counted as decaps.
The last time it has to be a member of the Standing Committee like Zhou Yongkang.
The number two win rate is 60%.
Not counting Zhou Yongkang, the number two winning rate is 67%. .
When Xi Jinping was beaten to the ground by Bo Xilai, he was already doomed to fail.